PT Boston (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.23

SOFA Stock  IDR 53.00  8.00  17.78%   
PT Boston's future price is the expected price of PT Boston instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PT Boston Furniture performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PT Boston Backtesting, PT Boston Valuation, PT Boston Correlation, PT Boston Hype Analysis, PT Boston Volatility, PT Boston History as well as PT Boston Performance.
  
Please specify PT Boston's target price for which you would like PT Boston odds to be computed.

PT Boston Target Price Odds to finish over 40.23

The tendency of SOFA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  40.23  in 90 days
 53.00 90 days 40.23 
roughly 2.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Boston to stay above  40.23  in 90 days from now is roughly 2.44 (This PT Boston Furniture probability density function shows the probability of SOFA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Boston Furniture price to stay between  40.23  and its current price of 53.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Boston has a beta of 0.52. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PT Boston average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Boston Furniture will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover PT Boston Furniture has an alpha of 1.6853, implying that it can generate a 1.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PT Boston Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Boston

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Boston Furniture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.2253.0057.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.6952.4757.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.4356.2060.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.0030.5852.16
Details

PT Boston Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Boston is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Boston's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Boston Furniture, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Boston within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
8.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.35

PT Boston Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Boston for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Boston Furniture can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Boston Furniture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 37.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.47 B.
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PT Boston Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SOFA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Boston's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Boston's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B
Shares Float302.6 M

PT Boston Technical Analysis

PT Boston's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SOFA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Boston Furniture. In general, you should focus on analyzing SOFA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PT Boston Predictive Forecast Models

PT Boston's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Boston's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Boston's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PT Boston Furniture

Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Boston for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Boston Furniture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Boston Furniture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 37.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.47 B.
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SOFA Stock

PT Boston financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOFA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOFA with respect to the benefits of owning PT Boston security.