Sohucom Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.04
| SOHU Stock | USD 12.20 0.16 1.33% |
SohuCom |
SohuCom Target Price Odds to finish below 12.04
The tendency of SohuCom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.04 or more in 90 days |
| 12.20 | 90 days | 12.04 | about 1.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SohuCom to drop to $ 12.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.22 (This SohuCom probability density function shows the probability of SohuCom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SohuCom price to stay between $ 12.04 and its current price of $12.2 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SohuCom has a beta of 0.52. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SohuCom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SohuCom will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SohuCom has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SohuCom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SohuCom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SohuCom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SohuCom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SohuCom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SohuCom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SohuCom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SohuCom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
SohuCom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SohuCom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SohuCom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SohuCom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 542.36 M. | |
| SohuCom currently holds about 1.19 B in cash with (25.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| SohuCom has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Roberts Edward B of SohuCom at 20.03 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
SohuCom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SohuCom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SohuCom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SohuCom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 960.3 M |
SohuCom Technical Analysis
SohuCom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SohuCom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SohuCom. In general, you should focus on analyzing SohuCom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SohuCom Predictive Forecast Models
SohuCom's time-series forecasting models is one of many SohuCom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SohuCom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SohuCom
Checking the ongoing alerts about SohuCom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SohuCom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SohuCom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 542.36 M. | |
| SohuCom currently holds about 1.19 B in cash with (25.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| SohuCom has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Roberts Edward B of SohuCom at 20.03 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for SohuCom Stock Analysis
When running SohuCom's price analysis, check to measure SohuCom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SohuCom is operating at the current time. Most of SohuCom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SohuCom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SohuCom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SohuCom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.