Soltec Power (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.96
| SOL Stock | 1.60 0.09 5.33% |
Soltec |
Soltec Power Target Price Odds to finish below 0.96
The tendency of Soltec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.96 or more in 90 days |
| 1.60 | 90 days | 0.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Soltec Power to drop to 0.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Soltec Power Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Soltec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Soltec Power Holdings price to stay between 0.96 and its current price of 1.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Soltec Power Holdings has a beta of -0.0226. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Soltec Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Soltec Power Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Soltec Power Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Soltec Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Soltec Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soltec Power Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Soltec Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Soltec Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Soltec Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Soltec Power Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Soltec Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Soltec Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Soltec Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Soltec Power Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Soltec Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Soltec Power may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Soltec Power has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 346.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 127.6 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Soltec Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Soltec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Soltec Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Soltec Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.6 M |
Soltec Power Technical Analysis
Soltec Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Soltec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Soltec Power Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Soltec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Soltec Power Predictive Forecast Models
Soltec Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Soltec Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Soltec Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Soltec Power Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Soltec Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Soltec Power Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Soltec Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Soltec Power may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Soltec Power has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 346.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 127.6 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Soltec Stock
Soltec Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Soltec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Soltec with respect to the benefits of owning Soltec Power security.