Solartron Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 128.36

SOLAR Stock  THB 0.47  0.01  2.08%   
Solartron Public's future price is the expected price of Solartron Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Solartron Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Solartron Public Backtesting, Solartron Public Valuation, Solartron Public Correlation, Solartron Public Hype Analysis, Solartron Public Volatility, Solartron Public History as well as Solartron Public Performance.
  
Please specify Solartron Public's target price for which you would like Solartron Public odds to be computed.

Solartron Public Target Price Odds to finish over 128.36

The tendency of Solartron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  128.36  or more in 90 days
 0.47 90 days 128.36 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Solartron Public to move over  128.36  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Solartron Public probability density function shows the probability of Solartron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Solartron Public price to stay between its current price of  0.47  and  128.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Solartron Public has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Solartron Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Solartron Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Solartron Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Solartron Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Solartron Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solartron Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4773.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4273.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.46126.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.460.490.51
Details

Solartron Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Solartron Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Solartron Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Solartron Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Solartron Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Solartron Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Solartron Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Solartron Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Solartron Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Solartron Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Solartron Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Solartron Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Solartron Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Solartron Public has accumulated 629.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Solartron Public has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Solartron Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Solartron Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Solartron Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Solartron to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Solartron Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 177.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (282.87 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (103.64 M).
About 33.0% of Solartron Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Solartron Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Solartron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Solartron Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Solartron Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Solartron Public Technical Analysis

Solartron Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Solartron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Solartron Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Solartron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Solartron Public Predictive Forecast Models

Solartron Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Solartron Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Solartron Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Solartron Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Solartron Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Solartron Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Solartron Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Solartron Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Solartron Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Solartron Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Solartron Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Solartron Public has accumulated 629.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Solartron Public has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Solartron Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Solartron Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Solartron Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Solartron to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Solartron Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 177.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (282.87 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (103.64 M).
About 33.0% of Solartron Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Solartron Stock

Solartron Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Solartron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Solartron with respect to the benefits of owning Solartron Public security.