Solaer Israel (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3577.41

SOLR Stock  ILA 3,487  1.00  0.03%   
Solaer Israel's future price is the expected price of Solaer Israel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Solaer Israel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Solaer Israel Backtesting, Solaer Israel Valuation, Solaer Israel Correlation, Solaer Israel Hype Analysis, Solaer Israel Volatility, Solaer Israel History as well as Solaer Israel Performance.
  
Please specify Solaer Israel's target price for which you would like Solaer Israel odds to be computed.

Solaer Israel Target Price Odds to finish below 3577.41

The tendency of Solaer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  3,577  after 90 days
 3,487 90 days 3,577 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Solaer Israel to stay under  3,577  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Solaer Israel probability density function shows the probability of Solaer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Solaer Israel price to stay between its current price of  3,487  and  3,577  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Solaer Israel has a beta of -0.38. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Solaer Israel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Solaer Israel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Solaer Israel has an alpha of 0.1327, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Solaer Israel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Solaer Israel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solaer Israel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,4853,4873,489
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,8322,8343,836
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,5753,5773,580
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,4503,5043,559
Details

Solaer Israel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Solaer Israel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Solaer Israel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Solaer Israel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Solaer Israel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
119.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Solaer Israel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Solaer Israel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Solaer Israel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Solaer Israel Technical Analysis

Solaer Israel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Solaer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Solaer Israel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Solaer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Solaer Israel Predictive Forecast Models

Solaer Israel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Solaer Israel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Solaer Israel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Solaer Israel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Solaer Israel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Solaer Israel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Solaer Stock

Solaer Israel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Solaer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Solaer with respect to the benefits of owning Solaer Israel security.