Secom Co Ltd Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 7.47
| SOMLY Stock | USD 8.68 0.16 1.88% |
Secom |
Secom Co Target Price Odds to finish below 7.47
The tendency of Secom Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.47 or more in 90 days |
| 8.68 | 90 days | 7.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Secom Co to drop to $ 7.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Secom Co Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Secom Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Secom Co price to stay between $ 7.47 and its current price of $8.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Secom Co Ltd has a beta of -0.0388. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Secom Co are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Secom Co Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Secom Co Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Secom Co Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Secom Co
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Secom Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Secom Co Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Secom Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Secom Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Secom Co Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Secom Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Secom Co Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Secom Co for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Secom Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Secom Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Secom Co Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Secom Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Secom Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Secom Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 873 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 685.9 B |
Secom Co Technical Analysis
Secom Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Secom Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Secom Co Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Secom Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Secom Co Predictive Forecast Models
Secom Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many Secom Co's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Secom Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Secom Co
Checking the ongoing alerts about Secom Co for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Secom Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Secom Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Secom Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Secom Co's price analysis, check to measure Secom Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Secom Co is operating at the current time. Most of Secom Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Secom Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Secom Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Secom Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.