Listed Funds Trust Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 24.83

SPCZ Etf  USD 26.91  0.14  0.52%   
Listed Funds' future price is the expected price of Listed Funds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Listed Funds Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Listed Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Listed Funds Correlation, Listed Funds Hype Analysis, Listed Funds Volatility, Listed Funds History as well as Listed Funds Performance.
  
Please specify Listed Funds' target price for which you would like Listed Funds odds to be computed.

Listed Funds Target Price Odds to finish below 24.83

The tendency of Listed Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.83  or more in 90 days
 26.91 90 days 24.83 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Listed Funds to drop to $ 24.83  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Listed Funds Trust probability density function shows the probability of Listed Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Listed Funds Trust price to stay between $ 24.83  and its current price of $26.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Listed Funds Trust has a beta of -0.0221. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Listed Funds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Listed Funds Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Listed Funds Trust has an alpha of 0.018, implying that it can generate a 0.018 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Listed Funds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Listed Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Listed Funds Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Listed Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4626.7727.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4426.7527.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.5226.8327.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.6326.7526.87
Details

Listed Funds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Listed Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Listed Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Listed Funds Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Listed Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Listed Funds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Listed Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Listed Funds Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.13% of its assets in stocks

Listed Funds Technical Analysis

Listed Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Listed Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Listed Funds Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Listed Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Listed Funds Predictive Forecast Models

Listed Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Listed Funds' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Listed Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Listed Funds Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Listed Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Listed Funds Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.13% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether Listed Funds Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Listed Funds' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Listed Funds' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Listed Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Listed Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Listed Funds Correlation, Listed Funds Hype Analysis, Listed Funds Volatility, Listed Funds History as well as Listed Funds Performance.
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The market value of Listed Funds Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Listed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Listed Funds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Listed Funds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Listed Funds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Listed Funds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Listed Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Listed Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Listed Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.