South Plains Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.32

SPFI Stock  USD 38.28  0.33  0.87%   
South Plains' future price is the expected price of South Plains instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of South Plains Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out South Plains Backtesting, South Plains Valuation, South Plains Correlation, South Plains Hype Analysis, South Plains Volatility, South Plains History as well as South Plains Performance.
  
As of now, South Plains' Price To Book Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The South Plains' current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 1.54, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.72. Please specify South Plains' target price for which you would like South Plains odds to be computed.

South Plains Target Price Odds to finish over 35.32

The tendency of South Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 35.32  in 90 days
 38.28 90 days 35.32 
about 51.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of South Plains to stay above $ 35.32  in 90 days from now is about 51.17 (This South Plains Financial probability density function shows the probability of South Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of South Plains Financial price to stay between $ 35.32  and its current price of $38.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.58 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, South Plains will likely underperform. Additionally South Plains Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   South Plains Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for South Plains

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as South Plains Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.6838.2840.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.6137.2139.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.9637.5640.16
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.9629.6332.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as South Plains. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against South Plains' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, South Plains' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in South Plains Financial.

South Plains Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. South Plains is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the South Plains' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold South Plains Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of South Plains within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.58
σ
Overall volatility
2.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

South Plains Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of South Plains for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for South Plains Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 12th of November 2024 South Plains paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2063 shares by Mikella Newsom of South Plains at 20.93 subject to Rule 16b-3

South Plains Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of South Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential South Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. South Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments685.6 M

South Plains Technical Analysis

South Plains' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. South Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of South Plains Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing South Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

South Plains Predictive Forecast Models

South Plains' time-series forecasting models is one of many South Plains' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary South Plains' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about South Plains Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about South Plains for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for South Plains Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 12th of November 2024 South Plains paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2063 shares by Mikella Newsom of South Plains at 20.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether South Plains Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of South Plains' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of South Plains Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on South Plains Financial Stock:
Check out South Plains Backtesting, South Plains Valuation, South Plains Correlation, South Plains Hype Analysis, South Plains Volatility, South Plains History as well as South Plains Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of South Plains. If investors know South will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about South Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Dividend Share
0.54
Earnings Share
2.57
Revenue Per Share
11.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of South Plains Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of South that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of South Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is South Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because South Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect South Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between South Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if South Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, South Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.