Saha Pathana (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.28
| SPI Stock | THB 62.80 2.74 4.18% |
Saha |
Saha Pathana Target Price Odds to finish below 63.28
The tendency of Saha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 63.28 after 90 days |
| 62.80 | 90 days | 63.28 | about 18.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saha Pathana to stay under 63.28 after 90 days from now is about 18.36 (This Saha Pathana Inter Holding probability density function shows the probability of Saha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saha Pathana Inter price to stay between its current price of 62.80 and 63.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saha Pathana Inter Holding has a beta of -0.0715. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Saha Pathana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Saha Pathana Inter Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Saha Pathana Inter Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Saha Pathana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Saha Pathana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saha Pathana Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Saha Pathana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saha Pathana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saha Pathana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saha Pathana Inter Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saha Pathana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Saha Pathana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saha Pathana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saha Pathana Inter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Saha Pathana Inter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saha Pathana Inter Holding has accumulated 9.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 29.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Saha Pathana Inter has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Saha Pathana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Saha Pathana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Saha Pathana Inter sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Saha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Saha Pathana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Saha Pathana Inter Holding has accumulated about 43.89 M in cash with (163.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Roughly 50.0% of Saha Pathana outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Saha Pathana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saha Pathana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saha Pathana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 571.9 M |
Saha Pathana Technical Analysis
Saha Pathana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saha Pathana Inter Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saha Pathana Predictive Forecast Models
Saha Pathana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saha Pathana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saha Pathana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saha Pathana Inter
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saha Pathana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saha Pathana Inter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Saha Pathana Inter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saha Pathana Inter Holding has accumulated 9.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 29.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Saha Pathana Inter has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Saha Pathana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Saha Pathana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Saha Pathana Inter sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Saha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Saha Pathana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Saha Pathana Inter Holding has accumulated about 43.89 M in cash with (163.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Roughly 50.0% of Saha Pathana outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Saha Stock
Saha Pathana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saha with respect to the benefits of owning Saha Pathana security.