Sparindex INDEX (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 270.77

SPIC25KL  DKK 274.20  0.20  0.07%   
Sparindex INDEX's future price is the expected price of Sparindex INDEX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sparindex INDEX OMX performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sparindex INDEX Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sparindex INDEX Correlation, Sparindex INDEX Hype Analysis, Sparindex INDEX Volatility, Sparindex INDEX History as well as Sparindex INDEX Performance.
  
Please specify Sparindex INDEX's target price for which you would like Sparindex INDEX odds to be computed.

Sparindex INDEX Target Price Odds to finish below 270.77

The tendency of Sparindex Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 270.77  or more in 90 days
 274.20 90 days 270.77 
about 13.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sparindex INDEX to drop to kr 270.77  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.78 (This Sparindex INDEX OMX probability density function shows the probability of Sparindex Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sparindex INDEX OMX price to stay between kr 270.77  and its current price of kr274.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sparindex INDEX OMX has a beta of -0.0164. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sparindex INDEX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sparindex INDEX OMX is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sparindex INDEX OMX has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sparindex INDEX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sparindex INDEX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparindex INDEX OMX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
273.40274.20275.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
246.78276.21277.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
274.63275.43276.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
263.31273.96284.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sparindex INDEX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sparindex INDEX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sparindex INDEX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sparindex INDEX OMX.

Sparindex INDEX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sparindex INDEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sparindex INDEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sparindex INDEX OMX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sparindex INDEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
8.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Sparindex INDEX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sparindex INDEX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sparindex INDEX OMX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sparindex INDEX OMX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Sparindex INDEX Technical Analysis

Sparindex INDEX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sparindex Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sparindex INDEX OMX. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sparindex Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sparindex INDEX Predictive Forecast Models

Sparindex INDEX's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sparindex INDEX's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sparindex INDEX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sparindex INDEX OMX

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sparindex INDEX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sparindex INDEX OMX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sparindex INDEX OMX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Sparindex Fund

Sparindex INDEX financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparindex Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparindex with respect to the benefits of owning Sparindex INDEX security.
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