Sparinvest Europa (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 157.88
| SPIEUGKL | DKK 159.08 0.47 0.29% |
Sparinvest |
Sparinvest Europa Target Price Odds to finish below 157.88
The tendency of Sparinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 157.88 or more in 90 days |
| 159.08 | 90 days | 157.88 | about 7.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sparinvest Europa to drop to kr 157.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.24 (This Sparinvest Europa Growth probability density function shows the probability of Sparinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sparinvest Europa Growth price to stay between kr 157.88 and its current price of kr159.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sparinvest Europa has a beta of 0.48. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sparinvest Europa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sparinvest Europa Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sparinvest Europa Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sparinvest Europa Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Sparinvest Europa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparinvest Europa Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sparinvest Europa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sparinvest Europa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sparinvest Europa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sparinvest Europa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sparinvest Europa Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sparinvest Europa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Sparinvest Europa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sparinvest Europa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sparinvest Europa Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sparinvest Europa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Sparinvest Europa Technical Analysis
Sparinvest Europa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sparinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sparinvest Europa Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sparinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sparinvest Europa Predictive Forecast Models
Sparinvest Europa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sparinvest Europa's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sparinvest Europa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sparinvest Europa Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sparinvest Europa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sparinvest Europa Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sparinvest Europa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Sparinvest Fund
Sparinvest Europa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparinvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparinvest with respect to the benefits of owning Sparinvest Europa security.
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