Sparindex INDEX (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 139.11
| SPISOKLA | DKK 139.25 0.05 0.04% |
Sparindex |
Sparindex INDEX Target Price Odds to finish below 139.11
The tendency of Sparindex Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 139.11 or more in 90 days |
| 139.25 | 90 days | 139.11 | over 95.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sparindex INDEX to drop to kr 139.11 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.39 (This Sparindex INDEX Stabile probability density function shows the probability of Sparindex Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sparindex INDEX Stabile price to stay between kr 139.11 and its current price of kr139.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sparindex INDEX has a beta of 0.0123. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sparindex INDEX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sparindex INDEX Stabile will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sparindex INDEX Stabile has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sparindex INDEX Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sparindex INDEX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparindex INDEX Stabile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sparindex INDEX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sparindex INDEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sparindex INDEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sparindex INDEX Stabile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sparindex INDEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.76 |
Sparindex INDEX Technical Analysis
Sparindex INDEX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sparindex Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sparindex INDEX Stabile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sparindex Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sparindex INDEX Predictive Forecast Models
Sparindex INDEX's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sparindex INDEX's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sparindex INDEX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sparindex INDEX in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sparindex INDEX's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sparindex INDEX options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Sparindex Fund
Sparindex INDEX financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparindex Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparindex with respect to the benefits of owning Sparindex INDEX security.
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