Santander Bank (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 442.12
| SPL Stock | 439.40 1.60 0.37% |
Santander |
Santander Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 442.12
The tendency of Santander Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 442.12 after 90 days |
| 439.40 | 90 days | 442.12 | about 13.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Santander Bank to stay under 442.12 after 90 days from now is about 13.95 (This Santander Bank Polska probability density function shows the probability of Santander Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Santander Bank Polska price to stay between its current price of 439.40 and 442.12 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Santander Bank Polska has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Santander Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Santander Bank Polska is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Santander Bank Polska has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Santander Bank Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Santander Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Santander Bank Polska. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Santander Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Santander Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Santander Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Santander Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Santander Bank Polska, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Santander Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 23.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Santander Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Santander Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Santander Bank Polska can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Santander Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Santander Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Santander Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Santander Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Santander Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Santander Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.2 M |
Santander Bank Technical Analysis
Santander Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Santander Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Santander Bank Polska. In general, you should focus on analyzing Santander Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Santander Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Santander Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Santander Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Santander Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Santander Bank Polska
Checking the ongoing alerts about Santander Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Santander Bank Polska help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Santander Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Santander Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Santander Stock Analysis
When running Santander Bank's price analysis, check to measure Santander Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Santander Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Santander Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Santander Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Santander Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Santander Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.