Speed Medical (Egypt) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.41
| SPMD Stock | 0.38 0.02 5.56% |
Speed |
Speed Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 0.41
The tendency of Speed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.41 after 90 days |
| 0.38 | 90 days | 0.41 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Speed Medical to stay under 0.41 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Speed Medical probability density function shows the probability of Speed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Speed Medical price to stay between its current price of 0.38 and 0.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Speed Medical has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Speed Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Speed Medical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Speed Medical has an alpha of 0.1232, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Speed Medical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Speed Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Speed Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Speed Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Speed Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Speed Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Speed Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Speed Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Speed Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Speed Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Speed Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Speed Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Speed Medical Technical Analysis
Speed Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Speed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Speed Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Speed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Speed Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Speed Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Speed Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Speed Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Speed Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Speed Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Speed Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Speed Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |