Spuntech (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 433.95
| SPNTC Stock | ILS 401.30 92.60 18.75% |
Spuntech |
Spuntech Target Price Odds to finish below 433.95
The tendency of Spuntech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under S 433.95 after 90 days |
| 401.30 | 90 days | 433.95 | about 30.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spuntech to stay under S 433.95 after 90 days from now is about 30.68 (This Spuntech probability density function shows the probability of Spuntech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spuntech price to stay between its current price of S 401.30 and S 433.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Spuntech has a beta of -0.46. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Spuntech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Spuntech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Spuntech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Spuntech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Spuntech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spuntech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spuntech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spuntech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spuntech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spuntech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spuntech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spuntech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 34.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Spuntech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spuntech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spuntech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Spuntech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Spuntech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Spuntech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Spuntech has accumulated 120.34 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 122.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Spuntech has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Spuntech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spuntech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spuntech sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spuntech to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spuntech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 70.0% of Spuntech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Spuntech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spuntech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spuntech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spuntech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 39.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 87 M |
Spuntech Technical Analysis
Spuntech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spuntech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spuntech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spuntech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Spuntech Predictive Forecast Models
Spuntech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Spuntech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spuntech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Spuntech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Spuntech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spuntech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Spuntech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Spuntech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Spuntech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Spuntech has accumulated 120.34 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 122.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Spuntech has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Spuntech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spuntech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spuntech sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spuntech to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spuntech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 70.0% of Spuntech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Spuntech Stock Analysis
When running Spuntech's price analysis, check to measure Spuntech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spuntech is operating at the current time. Most of Spuntech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spuntech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spuntech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spuntech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.