Sportking India (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 85.17
| SPORTKING | 94.00 3.54 3.91% |
Sportking |
Sportking India Target Price Odds to finish below 85.17
The tendency of Sportking Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 85.17 or more in 90 days |
| 94.00 | 90 days | 85.17 | nearly 4.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sportking India to drop to 85.17 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.09 (This Sportking India Limited probability density function shows the probability of Sportking Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sportking India price to stay between 85.17 and its current price of 94.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sportking India has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sportking India average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sportking India Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sportking India Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sportking India Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sportking India
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sportking India. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sportking India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sportking India Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sportking India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sportking India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sportking India Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sportking India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Sportking India Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sportking India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sportking India can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sportking India generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sportking India has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sportking India is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Sportking India generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sportking India Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sportking Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sportking India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sportking India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.5 M |
Sportking India Technical Analysis
Sportking India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sportking Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sportking India Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sportking Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sportking India Predictive Forecast Models
Sportking India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sportking India's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sportking India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sportking India
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sportking India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sportking India help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sportking India generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sportking India has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sportking India is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Sportking India generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sportking Stock
Sportking India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sportking Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sportking with respect to the benefits of owning Sportking India security.