Sparta AG (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.80
| SPT6 Stock | EUR 32.00 1.00 3.23% |
Sparta |
Sparta AG Target Price Odds to finish over 39.80
The tendency of Sparta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 39.80 or more in 90 days |
| 32.00 | 90 days | 39.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sparta AG to move over € 39.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sparta AG probability density function shows the probability of Sparta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sparta AG price to stay between its current price of € 32.00 and € 39.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sparta AG has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sparta AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sparta AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sparta AG has an alpha of 0.0295, implying that it can generate a 0.0295 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sparta AG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sparta AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparta AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sparta AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sparta AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sparta AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sparta AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sparta AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Sparta AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sparta AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sparta AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 1.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (507.54 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.39 M. |
Sparta AG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sparta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sparta AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sparta AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 M | |
| Shares Float | 618.3 K |
Sparta AG Technical Analysis
Sparta AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sparta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sparta AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sparta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sparta AG Predictive Forecast Models
Sparta AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sparta AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sparta AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sparta AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sparta AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sparta AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 1.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (507.54 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.39 M. |
Other Information on Investing in Sparta Stock
Sparta AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparta with respect to the benefits of owning Sparta AG security.