Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 915.31

SRAJ Stock  IDR 2,940  10.00  0.34%   
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's future price is the expected price of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Backtesting, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Valuation, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Correlation, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Hype Analysis, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Volatility, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya History as well as Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Performance.
  
Please specify Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's target price for which you would like Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya odds to be computed.

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Target Price Odds to finish over 915.31

The tendency of Sejahteraraya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  915.31  in 90 days
 2,940 90 days 915.31 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya to stay above  915.31  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Sejahteraraya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya price to stay between  915.31  and its current price of 2940.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya has a beta of 0.21. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk has an alpha of 0.2764, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9382,9402,942
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6462,9722,974
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,6072,6092,611
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,8303,2763,723
Details

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
335.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk has accumulated 203.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sejahteraraya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 94.0% of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sejahteraraya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12 B
Cash And Short Term Investments700.9 B

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Technical Analysis

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sejahteraraya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sejahteraraya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Predictive Forecast Models

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk has accumulated 203.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sejahteraraya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 94.0% of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sejahteraraya Stock

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sejahteraraya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sejahteraraya with respect to the benefits of owning Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya security.