Searchlight Minerals Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.002208
| SRCH Stock | USD 0 0.0001 4.17% |
Searchlight |
Searchlight Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.002208
The tendency of Searchlight Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Searchlight Minerals to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Searchlight Minerals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Searchlight Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Searchlight Minerals Corp price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.0023 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 7.56 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Searchlight Minerals will likely underperform. Additionally Searchlight Minerals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Searchlight Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Searchlight Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Searchlight Minerals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Searchlight Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Searchlight Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Searchlight Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Searchlight Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Searchlight Minerals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Searchlight Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 7.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0007 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Searchlight Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Searchlight Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Searchlight Minerals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Searchlight Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Searchlight Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Searchlight Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Searchlight Minerals Corp currently holds 40.85 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Searchlight Minerals Corp has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Searchlight Minerals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Searchlight Minerals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Searchlight Minerals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Searchlight to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Searchlight Minerals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (27.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Searchlight Minerals Corp currently holds about 968.19 K in cash with (3.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Searchlight Minerals Technical Analysis
Searchlight Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Searchlight Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Searchlight Minerals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Searchlight Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Searchlight Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Searchlight Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Searchlight Minerals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Searchlight Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Searchlight Minerals Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Searchlight Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Searchlight Minerals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Searchlight Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Searchlight Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Searchlight Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Searchlight Minerals Corp currently holds 40.85 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Searchlight Minerals Corp has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Searchlight Minerals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Searchlight Minerals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Searchlight Minerals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Searchlight to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Searchlight Minerals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (27.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Searchlight Minerals Corp currently holds about 968.19 K in cash with (3.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Searchlight Pink Sheet
Searchlight Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Searchlight Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Searchlight with respect to the benefits of owning Searchlight Minerals security.