Sparta Commercial Services Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.25
| SRCO Stock | USD 0.25 0.02 8.70% |
Sparta |
Sparta Commercial Target Price Odds to finish over 0.25
The tendency of Sparta Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 0.25 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sparta Commercial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Sparta Commercial Services probability density function shows the probability of Sparta Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sparta Commercial Services has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sparta Commercial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sparta Commercial Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sparta Commercial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sparta Commercial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sparta Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparta Commercial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sparta Commercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sparta Commercial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sparta Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sparta Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sparta Commercial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sparta Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Sparta Commercial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sparta Commercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sparta Commercial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sparta Commercial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sparta Commercial has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sparta Commercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 245.47 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 203.31 K. | |
| Sparta Commercial Services currently holds about 870 in cash with (1.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Sparta Commercial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sparta Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sparta Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sparta Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 317.00 |
Sparta Commercial Technical Analysis
Sparta Commercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sparta Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sparta Commercial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sparta Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sparta Commercial Predictive Forecast Models
Sparta Commercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sparta Commercial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sparta Commercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sparta Commercial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sparta Commercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sparta Commercial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sparta Commercial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sparta Commercial has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sparta Commercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 245.47 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 203.31 K. | |
| Sparta Commercial Services currently holds about 870 in cash with (1.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Sparta Pink Sheet
Sparta Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparta Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparta with respect to the benefits of owning Sparta Commercial security.