Swiss Re (Switzerland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 127.55

SREN Stock  CHF 127.20  1.25  0.99%   
Swiss Re's future price is the expected price of Swiss Re instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Swiss Re AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Swiss Re Backtesting, Swiss Re Valuation, Swiss Re Correlation, Swiss Re Hype Analysis, Swiss Re Volatility, Swiss Re History as well as Swiss Re Performance.
  
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Swiss Re Target Price Odds to finish over 127.55

The tendency of Swiss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over ₣ 127.55  or more in 90 days
 127.20 90 days 127.55 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swiss Re to move over ₣ 127.55  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Swiss Re AG probability density function shows the probability of Swiss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swiss Re AG price to stay between its current price of ₣ 127.20  and ₣ 127.55  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swiss Re has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swiss Re average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swiss Re AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swiss Re AG has an alpha of 0.0991, implying that it can generate a 0.0991 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Swiss Re Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swiss Re

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swiss Re AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
125.73127.20128.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
114.48151.37152.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
128.87130.34131.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
105.51117.43129.34
Details

Swiss Re Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swiss Re is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swiss Re's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swiss Re AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swiss Re within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
3.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Swiss Re Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swiss Re for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swiss Re AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Re AG has accumulated 10.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.54, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swiss Re AG has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swiss Re until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swiss Re's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swiss Re AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swiss Re's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Swiss Re Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swiss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swiss Re's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swiss Re's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding303.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments97.8 B

Swiss Re Technical Analysis

Swiss Re's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swiss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swiss Re AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swiss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Swiss Re Predictive Forecast Models

Swiss Re's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swiss Re's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swiss Re's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Swiss Re AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swiss Re for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swiss Re AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Re AG has accumulated 10.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.54, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swiss Re AG has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swiss Re until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swiss Re's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swiss Re AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swiss Re's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Swiss Stock Analysis

When running Swiss Re's price analysis, check to measure Swiss Re's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiss Re is operating at the current time. Most of Swiss Re's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiss Re's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiss Re's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiss Re to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.