Seritage Growth Properties Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 23.72

SRG-PA Preferred Stock  USD 22.25  0.17  0.77%   
Seritage Growth's future price is the expected price of Seritage Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seritage Growth Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seritage Growth Backtesting, Seritage Growth Valuation, Seritage Growth Correlation, Seritage Growth Hype Analysis, Seritage Growth Volatility, Seritage Growth History as well as Seritage Growth Performance.
  
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Seritage Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 23.72

The tendency of Seritage Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 23.72  or more in 90 days
 22.25 90 days 23.72 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seritage Growth to move over $ 23.72  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Seritage Growth Properties probability density function shows the probability of Seritage Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seritage Growth Prop price to stay between its current price of $ 22.25  and $ 23.72  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seritage Growth Properties has a beta of -0.35. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seritage Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seritage Growth Properties is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Seritage Growth Properties has an alpha of 0.0692, implying that it can generate a 0.0692 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Seritage Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seritage Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seritage Growth Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7922.2523.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1618.6224.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7322.1923.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.6922.0322.38
Details

Seritage Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seritage Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seritage Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seritage Growth Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seritage Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Seritage Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seritage Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seritage Growth Prop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seritage Growth Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Seritage Growth Prop has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 116.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.19 M.
Seritage Growth Properties has accumulated about 325.5 M in cash with (136 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.97.

Seritage Growth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seritage Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seritage Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seritage Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding97 M
Cash And Short Term Investments106.6 M

Seritage Growth Technical Analysis

Seritage Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seritage Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seritage Growth Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seritage Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seritage Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Seritage Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seritage Growth's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seritage Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seritage Growth Prop

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seritage Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seritage Growth Prop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seritage Growth Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Seritage Growth Prop has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 116.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.19 M.
Seritage Growth Properties has accumulated about 325.5 M in cash with (136 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.97.

Other Information on Investing in Seritage Preferred Stock

Seritage Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seritage Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seritage with respect to the benefits of owning Seritage Growth security.