Sri Panwa (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.85

SRIPANWA  THB 5.85  0.15  2.63%   
Sri Panwa's future price is the expected price of Sri Panwa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sri panwa Hospitality performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sri Panwa Backtesting, Sri Panwa Valuation, Sri Panwa Correlation, Sri Panwa Hype Analysis, Sri Panwa Volatility, Sri Panwa History as well as Sri Panwa Performance.
  
Please specify Sri Panwa's target price for which you would like Sri Panwa odds to be computed.

Sri Panwa Target Price Odds to finish over 5.85

The tendency of Sri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.85 90 days 5.85 
about 21.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sri Panwa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.94 (This Sri panwa Hospitality probability density function shows the probability of Sri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sri panwa Hospitality has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sri Panwa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sri panwa Hospitality is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sri panwa Hospitality has an alpha of 0.3086, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sri Panwa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sri Panwa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sri panwa Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.165.857.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.495.186.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.065.767.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.585.755.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sri Panwa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sri Panwa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sri Panwa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sri panwa Hospitality.

Sri Panwa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sri Panwa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sri Panwa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sri panwa Hospitality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sri Panwa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Sri Panwa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sri Panwa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sri panwa Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 315.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 306.42 M.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sri Panwa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sri Panwa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sri Panwa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding279.1 M
Short Long Term Debt979.7 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.84
Shares Float138 M

Sri Panwa Technical Analysis

Sri Panwa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sri panwa Hospitality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sri Panwa Predictive Forecast Models

Sri Panwa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sri Panwa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sri Panwa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sri panwa Hospitality

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sri Panwa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sri panwa Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 315.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 306.42 M.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Sri Stock Analysis

When running Sri Panwa's price analysis, check to measure Sri Panwa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sri Panwa is operating at the current time. Most of Sri Panwa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sri Panwa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sri Panwa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sri Panwa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.