Srj Technologies (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.038
| SRJ Stock | 0.04 0 7.50% |
Srj |
Srj Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.038
The tendency of Srj Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.04 after 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 1.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Srj Technologies to stay under 0.04 after 90 days from now is about 1.22 (This Srj Technologies Group probability density function shows the probability of Srj Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Srj Technologies price to stay between its current price of 0.04 and 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Srj Technologies has a beta of 0.33. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Srj Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Srj Technologies Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Srj Technologies Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Srj Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Srj Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Srj Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Srj Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Srj Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Srj Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Srj Technologies Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Srj Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Srj Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Srj Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Srj Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Srj Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Srj Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Srj Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Srj Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 540.74 K. | |
| Srj Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insurance Australia Group Director Increases Award Rights - MSN |
Srj Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Srj Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Srj Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Srj Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.5 K |
Srj Technologies Technical Analysis
Srj Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Srj Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Srj Technologies Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Srj Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Srj Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Srj Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Srj Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Srj Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Srj Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Srj Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Srj Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Srj Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Srj Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Srj Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Srj Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 540.74 K. | |
| Srj Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insurance Australia Group Director Increases Award Rights - MSN |
Additional Tools for Srj Stock Analysis
When running Srj Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Srj Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Srj Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Srj Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Srj Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Srj Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Srj Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.