Innealta Capital Sector Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.20

SROAX Fund  USD 13.07  0.09  0.69%   
Innealta Capital's future price is the expected price of Innealta Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Innealta Capital Sector performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Innealta Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Innealta Capital Correlation, Innealta Capital Hype Analysis, Innealta Capital Volatility, Innealta Capital History as well as Innealta Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Innealta Capital's target price for which you would like Innealta Capital odds to be computed.

Innealta Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 12.20

The tendency of Innealta Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.20  or more in 90 days
 13.07 90 days 12.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innealta Capital to drop to $ 12.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Innealta Capital Sector probability density function shows the probability of Innealta Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Innealta Capital Sector price to stay between $ 12.20  and its current price of $13.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Innealta Capital has a beta of 0.63. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Innealta Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innealta Capital Sector will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innealta Capital Sector has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Innealta Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innealta Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innealta Capital Sector. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3412.9813.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2612.9013.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4613.1013.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7512.8712.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Innealta Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Innealta Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Innealta Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Innealta Capital Sector.

Innealta Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innealta Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innealta Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innealta Capital Sector, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innealta Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Innealta Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innealta Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innealta Capital Sector can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund yields -4.0% to date and shows negative annual yield of 0.0%
Innealta Capital Sector maintains about 7.12% of its assets in cash

Innealta Capital Technical Analysis

Innealta Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Innealta Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Innealta Capital Sector. In general, you should focus on analyzing Innealta Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Innealta Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Innealta Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Innealta Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Innealta Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Innealta Capital Sector

Checking the ongoing alerts about Innealta Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Innealta Capital Sector help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund yields -4.0% to date and shows negative annual yield of 0.0%
Innealta Capital Sector maintains about 7.12% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Innealta Mutual Fund

Innealta Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Innealta Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Innealta with respect to the benefits of owning Innealta Capital security.
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