Saratoga Investama (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2195.0
| SRTG Stock | IDR 2,120 20.00 0.95% |
Saratoga |
Saratoga Investama Target Price Odds to finish over 2195.0
The tendency of Saratoga Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2,195 or more in 90 days |
| 2,120 | 90 days | 2,195 | about 84.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saratoga Investama to move over 2,195 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.55 (This Saratoga Investama Sedaya probability density function shows the probability of Saratoga Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saratoga Investama Sedaya price to stay between its current price of 2,120 and 2,195 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saratoga Investama Sedaya has a beta of -0.5. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Saratoga Investama are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Saratoga Investama Sedaya is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Saratoga Investama Sedaya has an alpha of 0.2673, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Saratoga Investama Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Saratoga Investama
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saratoga Investama Sedaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Saratoga Investama Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saratoga Investama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saratoga Investama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saratoga Investama Sedaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saratoga Investama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 146.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Saratoga Investama Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saratoga Investama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saratoga Investama Sedaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Saratoga Investama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saratoga Investama has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Saratoga Investama Sedaya has accumulated about 1.08 T in cash with (362.64 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 79.99. | |
| Roughly 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Saratoga Investama Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saratoga Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saratoga Investama's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saratoga Investama's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 462.1 B |
Saratoga Investama Technical Analysis
Saratoga Investama's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saratoga Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saratoga Investama Sedaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saratoga Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saratoga Investama Predictive Forecast Models
Saratoga Investama's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saratoga Investama's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saratoga Investama's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saratoga Investama Sedaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saratoga Investama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saratoga Investama Sedaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Saratoga Investama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saratoga Investama has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Saratoga Investama Sedaya has accumulated about 1.08 T in cash with (362.64 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 79.99. | |
| Roughly 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Saratoga Stock
Saratoga Investama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saratoga Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saratoga with respect to the benefits of owning Saratoga Investama security.