SISF BRIC (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 208.78
| SRVQ Fund | EUR 211.38 2.69 1.26% |
SISF |
SISF BRIC Target Price Odds to finish over 208.78
The tendency of SISF Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 208.78 in 90 days |
| 211.38 | 90 days | 208.78 | about 48.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SISF BRIC to stay above € 208.78 in 90 days from now is about 48.95 (This SISF BRIC AC probability density function shows the probability of SISF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SISF BRIC AC price to stay between € 208.78 and its current price of €211.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SISF BRIC AC has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SISF BRIC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SISF BRIC AC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SISF BRIC AC has an alpha of 0.1342, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SISF BRIC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SISF BRIC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SISF BRIC AC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SISF BRIC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SISF BRIC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SISF BRIC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SISF BRIC AC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SISF BRIC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0073 |
SISF BRIC Technical Analysis
SISF BRIC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SISF Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SISF BRIC AC. In general, you should focus on analyzing SISF Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SISF BRIC Predictive Forecast Models
SISF BRIC's time-series forecasting models is one of many SISF BRIC's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SISF BRIC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards SISF BRIC in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, SISF BRIC's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from SISF BRIC options trading.
Other Information on Investing in SISF Fund
SISF BRIC financial ratios help investors to determine whether SISF Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SISF with respect to the benefits of owning SISF BRIC security.
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