Sit Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.63

SSCDX Fund  USD 18.63  0.23  1.25%   
Sit Small's future price is the expected price of Sit Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sit Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sit Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sit Small Correlation, Sit Small Hype Analysis, Sit Small Volatility, Sit Small History as well as Sit Small Performance.
  
Please specify Sit Small's target price for which you would like Sit Small odds to be computed.

Sit Small Target Price Odds to finish below 18.63

The tendency of Sit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 18.63 90 days 18.63 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sit Small to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Sit Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Sit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sit Small will likely underperform. Additionally Sit Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sit Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sit Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sit Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sit Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5318.6319.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2818.3819.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.0618.1619.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.3418.5518.77
Details

Sit Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sit Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sit Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sit Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sit Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Sit Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sit Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sit Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.36% of its assets in stocks

Sit Small Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sit Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sit Small's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sit Small's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Sit Small Technical Analysis

Sit Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sit Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sit Small Predictive Forecast Models

Sit Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sit Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sit Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sit Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sit Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sit Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.36% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Sit Mutual Fund

Sit Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sit with respect to the benefits of owning Sit Small security.
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios