Saat Servative Strategy Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.06

SSTDX Fund  USD 10.56  0.02  0.19%   
Saat Servative's future price is the expected price of Saat Servative instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saat Servative Strategy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saat Servative Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Saat Servative Correlation, Saat Servative Hype Analysis, Saat Servative Volatility, Saat Servative History as well as Saat Servative Performance.
  
Please specify Saat Servative's target price for which you would like Saat Servative odds to be computed.

Saat Servative Target Price Odds to finish below 9.06

The tendency of Saat Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.06  or more in 90 days
 10.56 90 days 9.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saat Servative to drop to $ 9.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saat Servative Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Saat Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saat Servative Strategy price to stay between $ 9.06  and its current price of $10.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Saat Servative has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saat Servative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saat Servative Strategy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saat Servative Strategy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Saat Servative Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saat Servative

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saat Servative Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saat Servative's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4010.5610.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3910.5510.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4210.5810.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4310.5110.58
Details

Saat Servative Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saat Servative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saat Servative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saat Servative Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saat Servative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.77

Saat Servative Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saat Servative for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saat Servative Strategy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 26.51% of its assets in cash

Saat Servative Technical Analysis

Saat Servative's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saat Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saat Servative Strategy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saat Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saat Servative Predictive Forecast Models

Saat Servative's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saat Servative's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saat Servative's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saat Servative Strategy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saat Servative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saat Servative Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 26.51% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Saat Mutual Fund

Saat Servative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saat Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saat with respect to the benefits of owning Saat Servative security.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity