Sturm Ruger (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.80

ST2 Stock  EUR 30.80  0.80  2.53%   
Sturm Ruger's future price is the expected price of Sturm Ruger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sturm Ruger performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sturm Ruger Analysis, Sturm Ruger Valuation, Sturm Ruger Correlation, Sturm Ruger Hype Analysis, Sturm Ruger Volatility, Sturm Ruger Price History as well as Sturm Ruger Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Sturm Stock please use our How to Invest in Sturm Ruger guide.
  
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Sturm Ruger Target Price Odds to finish over 30.80

The tendency of Sturm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.80 90 days 30.80 
about 19.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sturm Ruger to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.88 (This Sturm Ruger probability density function shows the probability of Sturm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sturm Ruger has a beta of 0.15. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sturm Ruger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sturm Ruger will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sturm Ruger has an alpha of 0.0491, implying that it can generate a 0.0491 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sturm Ruger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sturm Ruger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sturm Ruger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.8731.0833.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9625.1733.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.092.182.27
Details

Sturm Ruger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sturm Ruger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sturm Ruger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sturm Ruger, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sturm Ruger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.0007

Sturm Ruger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sturm Ruger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sturm Ruger can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sturm, Ruger Company, Inc. Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Sturm Ruger Technical Analysis

Sturm Ruger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sturm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sturm Ruger. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sturm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sturm Ruger Predictive Forecast Models

Sturm Ruger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sturm Ruger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sturm Ruger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sturm Ruger

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sturm Ruger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sturm Ruger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sturm, Ruger Company, Inc. Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat
When determining whether Sturm Ruger is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sturm Ruger's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sturm Ruger's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sturm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sturm Ruger Analysis, Sturm Ruger Valuation, Sturm Ruger Correlation, Sturm Ruger Hype Analysis, Sturm Ruger Volatility, Sturm Ruger Price History as well as Sturm Ruger Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Sturm Stock please use our How to Invest in Sturm Ruger guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sturm Ruger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sturm Ruger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Sturm Ruger's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.