Standard Chartered (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 717.75

STAN Stock   987.80  1.40  0.14%   
Standard Chartered's future price is the expected price of Standard Chartered instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Standard Chartered PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Standard Chartered Backtesting, Standard Chartered Valuation, Standard Chartered Correlation, Standard Chartered Hype Analysis, Standard Chartered Volatility, Standard Chartered History as well as Standard Chartered Performance.
  
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Standard Chartered Target Price Odds to finish below 717.75

The tendency of Standard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  717.75  or more in 90 days
 987.80 90 days 717.75 
about 1.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Standard Chartered to drop to  717.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.83 (This Standard Chartered PLC probability density function shows the probability of Standard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Standard Chartered PLC price to stay between  717.75  and its current price of 987.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Standard Chartered PLC has a beta of -0.23. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Standard Chartered are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Standard Chartered PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Standard Chartered PLC has an alpha of 0.4333, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Standard Chartered Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Standard Chartered

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standard Chartered PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
986.27987.80989.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
929.02930.551,087
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
995.77997.29998.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
860.79938.581,016
Details

Standard Chartered Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Standard Chartered is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Standard Chartered's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Standard Chartered PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Standard Chartered within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
76.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Standard Chartered Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Standard Chartered for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Standard Chartered PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Standard Chartered generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Standard Chartered Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Standard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Standard Chartered's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Standard Chartered's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments69.9 B

Standard Chartered Technical Analysis

Standard Chartered's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Standard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Standard Chartered PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Standard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Standard Chartered Predictive Forecast Models

Standard Chartered's time-series forecasting models is one of many Standard Chartered's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Standard Chartered's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Standard Chartered PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Standard Chartered for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Standard Chartered PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Standard Chartered generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Standard Stock Analysis

When running Standard Chartered's price analysis, check to measure Standard Chartered's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard Chartered is operating at the current time. Most of Standard Chartered's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard Chartered's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard Chartered's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard Chartered to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.