STANDARD BANK (Malawi) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4400.0
| STANDARD | 6,000 0.04 0.0007% |
STANDARD |
STANDARD BANK Target Price Odds to finish over 4400.0
The tendency of STANDARD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4,400 in 90 days |
| 6,000 | 90 days | 4,400 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STANDARD BANK to stay above 4,400 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This STANDARD BANK LIMITED probability density function shows the probability of STANDARD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STANDARD BANK LIMITED price to stay between 4,400 and its current price of 6000.13 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STANDARD BANK LIMITED has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding STANDARD BANK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, STANDARD BANK LIMITED is likely to outperform the market. Additionally STANDARD BANK LIMITED has an alpha of 0.3399, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). STANDARD BANK Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for STANDARD BANK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STANDARD BANK LIMITED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of STANDARD BANK's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
STANDARD BANK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STANDARD BANK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STANDARD BANK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STANDARD BANK LIMITED, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STANDARD BANK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 323.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
STANDARD BANK Technical Analysis
STANDARD BANK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STANDARD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STANDARD BANK LIMITED. In general, you should focus on analyzing STANDARD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
STANDARD BANK Predictive Forecast Models
STANDARD BANK's time-series forecasting models is one of many STANDARD BANK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STANDARD BANK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards STANDARD BANK in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, STANDARD BANK's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from STANDARD BANK options trading.
Additional Tools for STANDARD Stock Analysis
When running STANDARD BANK's price analysis, check to measure STANDARD BANK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STANDARD BANK is operating at the current time. Most of STANDARD BANK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STANDARD BANK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STANDARD BANK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STANDARD BANK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.