Stagwell Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.4

STGW Stock  USD 7.57  0.07  0.93%   
Stagwell's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Stagwell. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Stagwell based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Stagwell over a specific time period. For example, STGW Option Call 20-12-2024 7 is a CALL option contract on Stagwell's common stock with a strick price of 7.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-21 at 14:32:20 for $0.57 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All Stagwell options

Closest to current price Stagwell long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Stagwell's future price is the expected price of Stagwell instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stagwell performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stagwell Backtesting, Stagwell Valuation, Stagwell Correlation, Stagwell Hype Analysis, Stagwell Volatility, Stagwell History as well as Stagwell Performance.
For more information on how to buy Stagwell Stock please use our How to Invest in Stagwell guide.
  
At this time, Stagwell's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 2.29 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (55.23). Please specify Stagwell's target price for which you would like Stagwell odds to be computed.

Stagwell Target Price Odds to finish below 6.4

The tendency of Stagwell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 6.40  or more in 90 days
 7.57 90 days 6.40 
about 7.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stagwell to drop to $ 6.40  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.13 (This Stagwell probability density function shows the probability of Stagwell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stagwell price to stay between $ 6.40  and its current price of $7.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.84 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Stagwell will likely underperform. Additionally Stagwell has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stagwell Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stagwell

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stagwell. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.237.569.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.447.7710.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.687.019.34
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.488.229.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stagwell. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stagwell's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stagwell's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stagwell.

Stagwell Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stagwell is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stagwell's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stagwell, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stagwell within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Stagwell Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stagwell for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stagwell can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stagwell currently holds 1.49 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Stagwell has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Stagwell's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Stagwell has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of Stagwell shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should You Be Concerned About Stagwell Inc.s ROE

Stagwell Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stagwell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stagwell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stagwell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments119.7 M

Stagwell Technical Analysis

Stagwell's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stagwell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stagwell. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stagwell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stagwell Predictive Forecast Models

Stagwell's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stagwell's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stagwell's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stagwell

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stagwell for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stagwell help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stagwell currently holds 1.49 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Stagwell has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Stagwell's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Stagwell has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of Stagwell shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should You Be Concerned About Stagwell Inc.s ROE

Additional Tools for Stagwell Stock Analysis

When running Stagwell's price analysis, check to measure Stagwell's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stagwell is operating at the current time. Most of Stagwell's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stagwell's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stagwell's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stagwell to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.