Star Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.66
| STHO Stock | 11.29 0.01 0.09% |
Star |
Star Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 11.66
The tendency of Star Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 11.66 after 90 days |
| 11.29 | 90 days | 11.66 | about 9.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Star Holdings to stay under 11.66 after 90 days from now is about 9.11 (This Star Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Star Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Star Holdings price to stay between its current price of 11.29 and 11.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Star Holdings has a beta of 0.47. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Star Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Star Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Star Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Star Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Star Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Star Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Star Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Star Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Star Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Star Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Star Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Star Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Star Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Star Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Star Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 123.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (196.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Star Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Star Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: STRR - Star Equity Holdings, Inc. Latest Stock News Market Updates - StockTitan |
Star Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Star Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Star Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.7 M |
Star Holdings Technical Analysis
Star Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Star Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Star Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Star Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Star Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Star Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Star Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Star Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Star Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Star Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Star Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Star Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Star Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 123.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (196.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Star Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Star Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: STRR - Star Equity Holdings, Inc. Latest Stock News Market Updates - StockTitan |
Check out Star Holdings Backtesting, Star Holdings Valuation, Star Holdings Correlation, Star Holdings Hype Analysis, Star Holdings Volatility, Star Holdings History as well as Star Holdings Performance. To learn how to invest in Star Stock, please use our How to Invest in Star Holdings guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Star Holdings. If investors know Star will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Star Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 6.16 | Revenue Per Share 8.84 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.44) | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity 0.2023 |
The market value of Star Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Star that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Star Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Star Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Star Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Star Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Star Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Star Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Star Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.