STI Education (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.23

STI Stock   1.26  0.02  1.56%   
STI Education's future price is the expected price of STI Education instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STI Education Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out STI Education Backtesting, STI Education Valuation, STI Education Correlation, STI Education Hype Analysis, STI Education Volatility, STI Education History as well as STI Education Performance.
  
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STI Education Target Price Odds to finish over 1.23

The tendency of STI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1.23  in 90 days
 1.26 90 days 1.23 
about 30.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STI Education to stay above  1.23  in 90 days from now is about 30.7 (This STI Education Systems probability density function shows the probability of STI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STI Education Systems price to stay between  1.23  and its current price of 1.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STI Education has a beta of 0.28. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, STI Education average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding STI Education Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally STI Education Systems has an alpha of 0.4513, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   STI Education Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STI Education

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STI Education Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.284.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.464.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.344.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.241.281.31
Details

STI Education Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STI Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STI Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STI Education Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STI Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

STI Education Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STI Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STI Education Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STI Education may become a speculative penny stock

STI Education Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STI Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STI Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.9 B
Dividends Paid95.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

STI Education Technical Analysis

STI Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STI Education Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing STI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STI Education Predictive Forecast Models

STI Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many STI Education's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STI Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STI Education Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about STI Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STI Education Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STI Education may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in STI Stock

STI Education financial ratios help investors to determine whether STI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STI with respect to the benefits of owning STI Education security.