STM Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.5
| STM Stock | 61.50 0.00 0.00% |
STM |
STM Group Target Price Odds to finish below 62.5
The tendency of STM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 62.50 after 90 days |
| 61.50 | 90 days | 62.50 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STM Group to stay under 62.50 after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This STM Group Plc probability density function shows the probability of STM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STM Group Plc price to stay between its current price of 61.50 and 62.50 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STM Group Plc has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding STM Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, STM Group Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally STM Group Plc has an alpha of 0.2642, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). STM Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for STM Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STM Group Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.STM Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STM Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STM Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STM Group Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STM Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
STM Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STM Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STM Group Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| STM Group Plc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| STM Group Plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
STM Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STM Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STM Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 M |
STM Group Technical Analysis
STM Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STM Group Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing STM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
STM Group Predictive Forecast Models
STM Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many STM Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STM Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about STM Group Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about STM Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STM Group Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| STM Group Plc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| STM Group Plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in STM Stock
STM Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether STM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STM with respect to the benefits of owning STM Group security.