Sto SE (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 110.0

STO3 Stock   110.00  2.20  1.96%   
Sto SE's future price is the expected price of Sto SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sto SE Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sto SE Backtesting, Sto SE Valuation, Sto SE Correlation, Sto SE Hype Analysis, Sto SE Volatility, Sto SE History as well as Sto SE Performance.
  
Please specify Sto SE's target price for which you would like Sto SE odds to be computed.

Sto SE Target Price Odds to finish over 110.0

The tendency of Sto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 110.00 90 days 110.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sto SE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sto SE Co probability density function shows the probability of Sto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sto SE has a beta of 0.0384. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sto SE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sto SE Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sto SE Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sto SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sto SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sto SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.43110.00111.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.87106.44121.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.25108.82110.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
109.63112.44115.25
Details

Sto SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sto SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sto SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sto SE Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sto SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
3.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Sto SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sto SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sto SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sto SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Sto SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sto SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sto SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments230.5 M

Sto SE Technical Analysis

Sto SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sto SE Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sto SE Predictive Forecast Models

Sto SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sto SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sto SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sto SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sto SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sto SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sto SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Sto Stock

Sto SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sto Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sto with respect to the benefits of owning Sto SE security.