Storskogen Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.91

STOR-B Stock   11.28  0.08  0.70%   
Storskogen Group's future price is the expected price of Storskogen Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Storskogen Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Storskogen Group Backtesting, Storskogen Group Valuation, Storskogen Group Correlation, Storskogen Group Hype Analysis, Storskogen Group Volatility, Storskogen Group History as well as Storskogen Group Performance.
  
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Storskogen Group Target Price Odds to finish over 19.91

The tendency of Storskogen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  19.91  or more in 90 days
 11.28 90 days 19.91 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Storskogen Group to move over  19.91  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Storskogen Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Storskogen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Storskogen Group price to stay between its current price of  11.28  and  19.91  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Storskogen Group will likely underperform. Additionally Storskogen Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Storskogen Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Storskogen Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Storskogen Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.1011.2814.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.4310.6113.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.4011.5814.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.5910.2411.88
Details

Storskogen Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Storskogen Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Storskogen Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Storskogen Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Storskogen Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.0075

Storskogen Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Storskogen Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Storskogen Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Storskogen Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Storskogen Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Storskogen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Storskogen Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Storskogen Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments6.2 B

Storskogen Group Technical Analysis

Storskogen Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Storskogen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Storskogen Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Storskogen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Storskogen Group Predictive Forecast Models

Storskogen Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Storskogen Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Storskogen Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Storskogen Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Storskogen Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Storskogen Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Storskogen Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Storskogen Stock

Storskogen Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Storskogen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Storskogen with respect to the benefits of owning Storskogen Group security.