Starguide Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.125

STRG Stock  USD 0.10  0.07  233.33%   
Starguide's future price is the expected price of Starguide instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Starguide Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Starguide Backtesting, Starguide Valuation, Starguide Correlation, Starguide Hype Analysis, Starguide Volatility, Starguide History as well as Starguide Performance.
  
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Starguide Target Price Odds to finish over 0.125

The tendency of Starguide Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.13  or more in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 0.13 
about 12.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Starguide to move over $ 0.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.95 (This Starguide Group probability density function shows the probability of Starguide Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Starguide Group price to stay between its current price of $ 0.10  and $ 0.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 10.72 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Starguide will likely underperform. In addition to that Starguide Group has an alpha of 4.2625, implying that it can generate a 4.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Starguide Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Starguide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starguide Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1045.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1045.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1545.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.080.14
Details

Starguide Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Starguide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Starguide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Starguide Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Starguide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones10.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Starguide Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Starguide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Starguide Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starguide Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Starguide Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Starguide Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Starguide Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (25.86 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Starguide generates negative cash flow from operations
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Starguide Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Starguide Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Starguide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starguide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1805.00

Starguide Technical Analysis

Starguide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Starguide Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Starguide Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Starguide Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Starguide Predictive Forecast Models

Starguide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Starguide's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Starguide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Starguide Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Starguide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Starguide Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starguide Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Starguide Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Starguide Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Starguide Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (25.86 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Starguide generates negative cash flow from operations
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Starguide Pink Sheet

Starguide financial ratios help investors to determine whether Starguide Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Starguide with respect to the benefits of owning Starguide security.