Schlatter Industries (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.07

STRN Stock  CHF 22.80  0.40  1.79%   
Schlatter Industries' future price is the expected price of Schlatter Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schlatter Industries AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schlatter Industries Backtesting, Schlatter Industries Valuation, Schlatter Industries Correlation, Schlatter Industries Hype Analysis, Schlatter Industries Volatility, Schlatter Industries History as well as Schlatter Industries Performance.
  
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Schlatter Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 16.07

The tendency of Schlatter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 16.07  or more in 90 days
 22.80 90 days 16.07 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schlatter Industries to drop to ₣ 16.07  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Schlatter Industries AG probability density function shows the probability of Schlatter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schlatter Industries price to stay between ₣ 16.07  and its current price of ₣22.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Schlatter Industries has a beta of 0.064. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Schlatter Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Schlatter Industries AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Schlatter Industries AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Schlatter Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schlatter Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schlatter Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8422.8025.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0719.0325.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.2323.1826.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.2922.6723.04
Details

Schlatter Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schlatter Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schlatter Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schlatter Industries AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schlatter Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Schlatter Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schlatter Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schlatter Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Schlatter Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schlatter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schlatter Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schlatter Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.2 M

Schlatter Industries Technical Analysis

Schlatter Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schlatter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schlatter Industries AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schlatter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schlatter Industries Predictive Forecast Models

Schlatter Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Schlatter Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schlatter Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schlatter Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schlatter Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schlatter Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Schlatter Stock Analysis

When running Schlatter Industries' price analysis, check to measure Schlatter Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schlatter Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Schlatter Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schlatter Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schlatter Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schlatter Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.