Starr Peak Exploration Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.26

STRPF Stock  USD 0.26  0.01  3.70%   
Starr Peak's future price is the expected price of Starr Peak instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Starr Peak Exploration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Starr Peak Backtesting, Starr Peak Valuation, Starr Peak Correlation, Starr Peak Hype Analysis, Starr Peak Volatility, Starr Peak History as well as Starr Peak Performance.
  
Please specify Starr Peak's target price for which you would like Starr Peak odds to be computed.

Starr Peak Target Price Odds to finish below 0.26

The tendency of Starr OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.26 90 days 0.26 
about 28.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Starr Peak to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 28.11 (This Starr Peak Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Starr OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Starr Peak has a beta of 0.67. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Starr Peak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Starr Peak Exploration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Starr Peak Exploration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Starr Peak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Starr Peak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starr Peak Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.265.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.215.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.275.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.230.250.27
Details

Starr Peak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Starr Peak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Starr Peak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Starr Peak Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Starr Peak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Starr Peak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Starr Peak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Starr Peak Exploration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starr Peak generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Starr Peak has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Starr Peak has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Starr Peak has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (12.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Starr Peak Exploration has accumulated about 1.35 M in cash with (11.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Starr Peak Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Starr OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Starr Peak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starr Peak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.4 M

Starr Peak Technical Analysis

Starr Peak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Starr OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Starr Peak Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Starr OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Starr Peak Predictive Forecast Models

Starr Peak's time-series forecasting models is one of many Starr Peak's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Starr Peak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Starr Peak Exploration

Checking the ongoing alerts about Starr Peak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Starr Peak Exploration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starr Peak generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Starr Peak has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Starr Peak has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Starr Peak has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (12.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Starr Peak Exploration has accumulated about 1.35 M in cash with (11.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Other Information on Investing in Starr OTC Stock

Starr Peak financial ratios help investors to determine whether Starr OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Starr with respect to the benefits of owning Starr Peak security.