Star Equity Holdings Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 7.70

STRRP Preferred Stock  USD 9.41  0.06  0.64%   
Star Equity's future price is the expected price of Star Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Star Equity Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Star Equity Backtesting, Star Equity Valuation, Star Equity Correlation, Star Equity Hype Analysis, Star Equity Volatility, Star Equity History as well as Star Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Star Equity's target price for which you would like Star Equity odds to be computed.

Star Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 7.70

The tendency of Star Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.70  or more in 90 days
 9.41 90 days 7.70 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Star Equity to drop to $ 7.70  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Star Equity Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Star Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Star Equity Holdings price to stay between $ 7.70  and its current price of $9.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Star Equity has a beta of 0.1. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Star Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Star Equity Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Star Equity Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Star Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Star Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Equity Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.699.4111.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.669.3811.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.849.5611.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.339.399.45
Details

Star Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Star Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Star Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Star Equity Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Star Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Star Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Star Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Star Equity Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Star Equity Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Star Equity Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 106.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.24 M.
Star Equity Holdings has accumulated about 16.21 M in cash with (6.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.08.

Star Equity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Star Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Star Equity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Equity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 M

Star Equity Technical Analysis

Star Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Star Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Star Equity Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Star Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Star Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Star Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Star Equity's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Star Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Star Equity Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Star Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Star Equity Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Star Equity Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Star Equity Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 106.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.24 M.
Star Equity Holdings has accumulated about 16.21 M in cash with (6.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.08.

Additional Tools for Star Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Star Equity's price analysis, check to measure Star Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Equity is operating at the current time. Most of Star Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.