South Star Battery Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.4

STSBF Stock  USD 0.39  0.04  9.30%   
South Star's future price is the expected price of South Star instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of South Star Battery performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out South Star Backtesting, South Star Valuation, South Star Correlation, South Star Hype Analysis, South Star Volatility, South Star History as well as South Star Performance.
  
Please specify South Star's target price for which you would like South Star odds to be computed.

South Star Target Price Odds to finish below 0.4

The tendency of South OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.40  after 90 days
 0.39 90 days 0.40 
about 14.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of South Star to stay under $ 0.40  after 90 days from now is about 14.26 (This South Star Battery probability density function shows the probability of South OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of South Star Battery price to stay between its current price of $ 0.39  and $ 0.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon South Star has a beta of 0.46. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, South Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding South Star Battery will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally South Star Battery has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   South Star Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for South Star

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as South Star Battery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.394.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.344.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as South Star. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against South Star's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, South Star's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in South Star Battery.

South Star Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. South Star is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the South Star's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold South Star Battery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of South Star within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

South Star Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of South Star for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for South Star Battery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
South Star Battery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
South Star Battery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
South Star Battery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (2.22 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (47.44 K).
South Star Battery has accumulated about 5.22 M in cash with (2.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.

South Star Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of South OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential South Star's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. South Star's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding102.1 M

South Star Technical Analysis

South Star's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. South OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of South Star Battery. In general, you should focus on analyzing South OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

South Star Predictive Forecast Models

South Star's time-series forecasting models is one of many South Star's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary South Star's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about South Star Battery

Checking the ongoing alerts about South Star for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for South Star Battery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
South Star Battery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
South Star Battery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
South Star Battery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (2.22 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (47.44 K).
South Star Battery has accumulated about 5.22 M in cash with (2.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.

Other Information on Investing in South OTC Stock

South Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether South OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in South with respect to the benefits of owning South Star security.