Stadion Trilogy Alternative Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.59

STTIX Fund  USD 10.63  0.03  0.28%   
Stadion Trilogy's future price is the expected price of Stadion Trilogy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stadion Trilogy Alternative performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stadion Trilogy Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Stadion Trilogy Correlation, Stadion Trilogy Hype Analysis, Stadion Trilogy Volatility, Stadion Trilogy History as well as Stadion Trilogy Performance.
  
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Stadion Trilogy Target Price Odds to finish below 9.59

The tendency of Stadion Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.59  or more in 90 days
 10.63 90 days 9.59 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stadion Trilogy to drop to $ 9.59  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stadion Trilogy Alternative probability density function shows the probability of Stadion Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stadion Trilogy Alte price to stay between $ 9.59  and its current price of $10.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stadion Trilogy has a beta of 0.0535. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stadion Trilogy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stadion Trilogy Alternative will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stadion Trilogy Alternative has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stadion Trilogy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stadion Trilogy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stadion Trilogy Alte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2910.6310.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3210.6611.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2310.5710.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5810.6510.72
Details

Stadion Trilogy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stadion Trilogy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stadion Trilogy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stadion Trilogy Alternative, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stadion Trilogy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.49

Stadion Trilogy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stadion Trilogy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stadion Trilogy Alte can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stadion Trilogy Alte generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Stadion Trilogy Alte maintains about 5.02% of its assets in bonds

Stadion Trilogy Technical Analysis

Stadion Trilogy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stadion Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stadion Trilogy Alternative. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stadion Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stadion Trilogy Predictive Forecast Models

Stadion Trilogy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stadion Trilogy's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stadion Trilogy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stadion Trilogy Alte

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stadion Trilogy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stadion Trilogy Alte help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stadion Trilogy Alte generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Stadion Trilogy Alte maintains about 5.02% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Stadion Mutual Fund

Stadion Trilogy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stadion Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stadion with respect to the benefits of owning Stadion Trilogy security.
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