Siantar Top (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9375.0
| STTP Stock | IDR 12,500 100.00 0.81% |
Siantar |
Siantar Top Target Price Odds to finish below 9375.0
The tendency of Siantar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9,375 or more in 90 days |
| 12,500 | 90 days | 9,375 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siantar Top to drop to 9,375 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Siantar Top Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Siantar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siantar Top Tbk price to stay between 9,375 and its current price of 12500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Siantar Top has a beta of 0.48. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Siantar Top average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Siantar Top Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Siantar Top Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Siantar Top Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Siantar Top
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siantar Top Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Siantar Top Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siantar Top is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siantar Top's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siantar Top Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siantar Top within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 628.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Siantar Top Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siantar Top for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siantar Top Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Siantar Top Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Siantar Top Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siantar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siantar Top's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siantar Top's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 T |
Siantar Top Technical Analysis
Siantar Top's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siantar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siantar Top Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siantar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Siantar Top Predictive Forecast Models
Siantar Top's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siantar Top's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siantar Top's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Siantar Top Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Siantar Top for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siantar Top Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Siantar Top Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Siantar Stock
Siantar Top financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siantar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siantar with respect to the benefits of owning Siantar Top security.