Western Asset Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.0

STXAX Fund  USD 13.11  0.02  0.15%   
Western Asset's future price is the expected price of Western Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Western Asset Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Western Asset Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Western Asset Correlation, Western Asset Hype Analysis, Western Asset Volatility, Western Asset History as well as Western Asset Performance.
  
Please specify Western Asset's target price for which you would like Western Asset odds to be computed.

Western Asset Target Price Odds to finish below 13.0

The tendency of Western Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.00  or more in 90 days
 13.11 90 days 13.00 
about 19.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Western Asset to drop to $ 13.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.15 (This Western Asset Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Western Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Western Asset Municipal price to stay between $ 13.00  and its current price of $13.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Western Asset Municipal has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Western Asset are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Western Asset Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Western Asset Municipal has an alpha of 0.0063, implying that it can generate a 0.006311 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Western Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Western Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Asset Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8613.1313.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3112.5814.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8313.1013.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0013.1113.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Western Asset. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Western Asset's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Western Asset's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Western Asset Municipal.

Western Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Western Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Western Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Western Asset Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Western Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.45

Western Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Western Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Western Asset Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Western Asset Technical Analysis

Western Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Western Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Western Asset Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Western Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Western Asset Predictive Forecast Models

Western Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Western Asset's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Western Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Western Asset Municipal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Western Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Western Asset Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Western Mutual Fund

Western Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Asset security.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies