Baazar Style (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 326.1

STYLEBAAZA   345.90  10.10  3.01%   
Baazar Style's future price is the expected price of Baazar Style instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baazar Style Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baazar Style Backtesting, Baazar Style Valuation, Baazar Style Correlation, Baazar Style Hype Analysis, Baazar Style Volatility, Baazar Style History as well as Baazar Style Performance.
  
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Baazar Style Target Price Odds to finish over 326.1

The tendency of Baazar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  326.10  in 90 days
 345.90 90 days 326.10 
about 86.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baazar Style to stay above  326.10  in 90 days from now is about 86.54 (This Baazar Style Retail probability density function shows the probability of Baazar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baazar Style Retail price to stay between  326.10  and its current price of 345.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baazar Style has a beta of 0.47. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Baazar Style average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baazar Style Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baazar Style Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Baazar Style Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baazar Style

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baazar Style Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baazar Style's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
341.79345.19348.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
292.66296.06380.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
337.13340.53343.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
301.15323.20345.25
Details

Baazar Style Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baazar Style is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baazar Style's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baazar Style Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baazar Style within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
22.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Baazar Style Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baazar Style for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baazar Style Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baazar Style Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Baazar Style Retail has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Baazar Style Retail MD Expects Online Sales To Add 2 percent To Topline In Next Three Years - NDTV Profit

Baazar Style Technical Analysis

Baazar Style's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baazar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baazar Style Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baazar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baazar Style Predictive Forecast Models

Baazar Style's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baazar Style's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baazar Style's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baazar Style Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baazar Style for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baazar Style Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baazar Style Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Baazar Style Retail has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Baazar Style Retail MD Expects Online Sales To Add 2 percent To Topline In Next Three Years - NDTV Profit

Other Information on Investing in Baazar Stock

Baazar Style financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baazar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baazar with respect to the benefits of owning Baazar Style security.