Schneider Electric (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 214.56

SU Stock  EUR 241.75  1.65  0.69%   
Schneider Electric's future price is the expected price of Schneider Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schneider Electric SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schneider Electric Backtesting, Schneider Electric Valuation, Schneider Electric Correlation, Schneider Electric Hype Analysis, Schneider Electric Volatility, Schneider Electric History as well as Schneider Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Schneider Electric's target price for which you would like Schneider Electric odds to be computed.

Schneider Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 214.56

The tendency of Schneider Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 214.56  or more in 90 days
 241.75 90 days 214.56 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schneider Electric to drop to € 214.56  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Schneider Electric SE probability density function shows the probability of Schneider Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schneider Electric price to stay between € 214.56  and its current price of €241.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Schneider Electric has a beta of 0.94. This usually implies Schneider Electric SE market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Schneider Electric is expected to follow. Additionally Schneider Electric SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Schneider Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schneider Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
240.22241.75243.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
216.05217.58265.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
235.89237.42238.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
239.64241.20242.76
Details

Schneider Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schneider Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schneider Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schneider Electric SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schneider Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
7.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Schneider Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schneider Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schneider Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Schneider Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schneider Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schneider Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schneider Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding557.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Schneider Electric Technical Analysis

Schneider Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schneider Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schneider Electric SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schneider Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schneider Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Schneider Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schneider Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schneider Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schneider Electric

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schneider Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schneider Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Schneider Stock

Schneider Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schneider Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schneider with respect to the benefits of owning Schneider Electric security.