Supermarket Income (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 67.97
| SUPR Stock | 69.00 1.00 1.47% |
Supermarket |
Supermarket Income Target Price Odds to finish below 67.97
The tendency of Supermarket Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 67.97 or more in 90 days |
| 69.00 | 90 days | 67.97 | about 5.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Supermarket Income to drop to 67.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.97 (This Supermarket Income REIT probability density function shows the probability of Supermarket Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Supermarket Income REIT price to stay between 67.97 and its current price of 69.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Supermarket Income has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Supermarket Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Supermarket Income REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Supermarket Income REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Supermarket Income Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Supermarket Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supermarket Income REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Supermarket Income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Supermarket Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Supermarket Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Supermarket Income REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Supermarket Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Supermarket Income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Supermarket Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Supermarket Income REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Supermarket Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 107.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.48 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Supermarket Income paid 0.0153 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Supermarket Income REIT Hits New 12-Month Low - Time to Sell - MarketBeat |
Supermarket Income Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Supermarket Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Supermarket Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Supermarket Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.7 M |
Supermarket Income Technical Analysis
Supermarket Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Supermarket Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Supermarket Income REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Supermarket Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Supermarket Income Predictive Forecast Models
Supermarket Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Supermarket Income's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Supermarket Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Supermarket Income REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Supermarket Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Supermarket Income REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Supermarket Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 107.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.48 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Supermarket Income paid 0.0153 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Supermarket Income REIT Hits New 12-Month Low - Time to Sell - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Supermarket Stock Analysis
When running Supermarket Income's price analysis, check to measure Supermarket Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supermarket Income is operating at the current time. Most of Supermarket Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supermarket Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supermarket Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supermarket Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.