Grupo Supervielle (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 410.2
| SUPV Stock | ARS 3,700 65.00 1.79% |
Grupo |
Grupo Supervielle Target Price Odds to finish below 410.2
The tendency of Grupo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 410.20 or more in 90 days |
| 3,700 | 90 days | 410.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Supervielle to drop to 410.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Grupo Supervielle SA probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grupo Supervielle price to stay between 410.20 and its current price of 3700.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Supervielle has a beta of 0.36. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Grupo Supervielle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grupo Supervielle SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grupo Supervielle SA has an alpha of 0.9495, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grupo Supervielle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Supervielle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Supervielle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Supervielle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Supervielle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Supervielle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Supervielle SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Supervielle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 530.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Grupo Supervielle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Supervielle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Supervielle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grupo Supervielle appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 57.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.73 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.56 B. | |
| About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Grupo Supervielle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Supervielle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Supervielle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 456.7 M |
Grupo Supervielle Technical Analysis
Grupo Supervielle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Supervielle SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grupo Supervielle Predictive Forecast Models
Grupo Supervielle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Supervielle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Supervielle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grupo Supervielle
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Supervielle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Supervielle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grupo Supervielle appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 57.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.73 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.56 B. | |
| About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Grupo Stock
When determining whether Grupo Supervielle is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grupo Supervielle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grupo Supervielle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grupo Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Grupo Supervielle Backtesting, Grupo Supervielle Valuation, Grupo Supervielle Correlation, Grupo Supervielle Hype Analysis, Grupo Supervielle Volatility, Grupo Supervielle History as well as Grupo Supervielle Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.